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Rudaw

Kurdistan

Fmr CIA Director: Kurds have right to independent state, but may stay longer with Iraq

By Rudaw 26/6/2017
David Pretraeus works in New York as a partner at the private equity firm KKR and is chairman of the KKR Global Institute. Photo: AP
David Pretraeus works in New York as a partner at the private equity firm KKR and is chairman of the KKR Global Institute. Photo: AP
ERBIL, Kurdistan Region – Former CIA director David Petraeus believes that the Kurds have the right to their own independent state, but that internal disputes could complicate the referendum and that they need close to a million barrels of oil a day to maintain a state.  

“I think, ultimately, they probably do have a right to an independent state and an independent people, but again they’re going to have to get a good deal,” David Pretraeus said in an interview with the Australian independent media outlet The Conversation published on Sunday.   

“This has to be an amicable divorce with Iraq and a good deal with Turkey before they can risk that,” he added.   

Pretraeus was answering questions about the announcement of the Kurdistan Region’s independence referendum on September 25.  

“They will have a referendum on independence,” he said. Masoud Barzani, the president of the Kurdish regional government, has pledged this.  

“But I literally don’t think they can afford to be independent. We calculated at one point – the CIA – that they needed to export about 800,000 barrels of oil at US$105 per barrel.”   

Pretraeus resigned as head of the agency in 2011 after he allegedly provided classified information to his biographer, with whom he was also having an affair.  

“They are only producing 800,000 barrels on a really good day and exporting a subset of that now in the forties per barrel,” he claimed. “So, they still need some of what they get from Baghdad.”   

Baghdad and Erbil have been in dispute over the Kurdistan Region’s share of oil revenues since early 2014 when the government of Nouri al-Maliki cut the Region’s budget over the prospect of independent exports of Kurdish oil to international markets.  

 

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Chris Gal | 26/6/2017
I respect his opinion, but it is simply based on oil as the only commodity Kurdistan has to offer. What about natural gas, the primary heating and cooking fuel for the European community? What about wheat that is grown in such a quantity that Iraq can't or wont buy it all. What about future industrial development that has been delayed because of the security environment? With the natural gas reserve in the Kurdistan territory, plastics are a product the Kurd's could produce cheaply and on a massive scale. These plastics (in pellet form) could be easily shipped any where in the world for further processing into just about any product imaginable.
beetleking | 26/6/2017
I knew this ages ago but people just cannot accept it. I can see Kurdish Independence when Iraq is doing overall well.
FreeSpeech | 26/6/2017
Or around half a million barrels a day if half the revenue was not stolen by corrupt officials and Turkey. There are also other means of income for a country, like agriculture, industry, technology etc all of which can surpass oil revenue! but corruption is killing everything
Muraz Adzhoev | 26/6/2017
He turns out to be so primitive and inadequately thinking man, the former CIS director.
FAUthman | 26/6/2017
That is the kind of wisdom you need to hear. That is why oil is so important to keep track of! Kurds, through Rosneft's improvements to the pipeline will achieve 1 mil bpd soon, selling however not at $105 pb Kurds need to declare independence, but oil will be selling in the forties dollars pb for a very long time. You want to starve your people and cause a revolution: declare independence prematurely! Parliament needs to be seated and debate all that and the Kurdish people need to be told the facts! Petraeus reveals facts we did not know.

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