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Rudaw

Opinion

Trump’s objective: War or surrender

By 10/4/2019
Iran's Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani (seated, centre) and members of parliament wear the uniform of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC) in the legislature on April 9, 2019. Photo: handout/Iranian parliament/AFP
Iran's Parliament Speaker Ali Larijani (seated, centre) and members of parliament wear the uniform of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corp (IRGC) in the legislature on April 9, 2019. Photo: handout/Iranian parliament/AFP
Sadegh Maleki is a former Iranian diplomat and political analyst. In an op-ed written for Rudaw, he argues that Iran should not react in kind to the US designation of the IRGC as a terror organization in order to avoid being drawn into a war. 


Yesterday it was the United States withdrawing from the nuclear deal. Today it’s the designation of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) as a terrorist organization. Tomorrow there could be yet another move by Washington and its regional allies to try and trap Iran into a war. 

Let’s not look for scapegoats in this time of crisis and floods. First, we need to prevent further flooding and losses and then we can launch into criticisms. Iran – the people, decision makers, and all those with influence on society – has two options in the face of American pressures. The first is to swallow national pride, surrender, and place the royal crown on Mahmoud Hotak [Afghan ruler who overthrew the Safavid dynasty to become king of Persia from 1722 to 1725]. The second choice is to show national unity, avoid war, and do not respond to idiocy in kind. 

Out of shrewdness, we did not set the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) on fire because we did not want to play this war game of the US. Now Trump and the Bolton-Pompeo team have devised Plan B for war by putting the IRGC on a terrorist list. We should not take the bait.

Trump’s America has named the IRGC, an important sovereign tool and vital element for maintaining Iran’s national security, a terrorist group in order to push Iran into a corner. The US is trying to force Iran to choose either surrender or war.

Exiting this corner is only possible by relying on people. When I say people, I mean everyone from any sex or creed. We need to understand that the implications of this threat are so grave that the perils for Iran are greater than the dangers of the Imposed War [the Iran-Iraq war of 1980-1988]. Inside Iran, we should trust each other and through our unity we will break the sanctions. But to do that, we need to be more inclusive and expand the scope of our vision across the breadth of Iran. 

Despite all the critique that we have about the actions of reformists, conservatives and the parallel organs, today, when the integrity of Iran is threatened, we are all guards of the IRGC. This is not the right time to criticize how we got here. Everyone is aware of mistakes that were made, but this is an internal matter and has nothing to do with foreigners, especially a foreign enemy like Trump.

This generation and its officials will not repeat the bitter experiences that led to the invasion of Mongols, Mahmoud Afghan and the war that led to Turkmenchay.

If there is one thing that the Iranian people agree on, it is protecting the country despite disagreements over other things. Even if people dispute everything, no one has any disagreement when it comes to protecting Iran. This is a red line that could be used to reach consensus and unity. In the gridlock of war or surrender, it is the duty of the leadership to identify a third option.

It has been sometimes said that America started waging war against the IRGC in Syria by supporting Israeli attacks, of course in the face of Russian silence. In the same way that we did not fall for this trap, we should not take retaliatory action now because this is walking into a dangerous trap. 

In the face of the US decision on the IRGC, we should react with dignity, through the prism of wisdom.


Sometimes avoiding war requires more audacity than entering a war. During the Imposed War [Iran-Iraq war], we did not fight Iraq under Saddam, but the whole world. We are war-tested and our heads are held high, but we are not naive to be provoked into a war that we know will end in defeat. 

It is worth mentioning that for America the JCPOA should have been the beginning of a process, but for Iran it became a project. Perhaps we can find the silver lining of an exit from this gridlock somewhere in between these two visions.



Sadegh Maleki is a former Iranian diplomat and political analyst.

The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rudaw.

Comments

 
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Leon | 10/4/2019
Yes, your defeat is near. Finally the Pussranian comes out and states clearly that they will have their asses raped militarily by the US ifthey go to war. You don’t retaliate to the Israelis because you’re weak, simple as that. And like I’ve always said, Russia won’t do a god damn thing for you. When the Terrorist Pisslamic regime collapses then, and only then, will the people of Iran be free. Islam by definition is Terrorism.
John Bird | 11/4/2019
The main takeout from this opinion piece is the admission that your regime will be defeated if you entered a war now. The American administration also knows this fact and prefers to start the war while you’re at your weakest, with no nuclear weapons in your arsenal. With Trump in office, Netanyahu just got re-elected, your economy floundering and severe floods intensifying people’s displeasure at the Islamic regime, the pieces are perfectly in place for a final confrontation between Iran and the American-Israeli-Saudi alliance. It’s finally time to remove this Islamic regime cancer from the Middle East. This cancer has halted economic and social progress in the entire region for four decades!
Malaysian | 11/4/2019
Persians are noble people with long history and brave warriors, they deserve everything and respect from all the world
Gunrash | 11/4/2019
Either way your satanic republic of opium, public executions, oppression, paedophilia and sigeh marriages is falling apart and soon to be dealt the final blow. We will be there to celebrate for our assasinated leaders, our stolen land, our oppressed people, for our martyrs and most recently for Kirkuk..
Warden | 11/4/2019
If it is true the Iranian government is led by 12'ers who think they can bring back the 12th Imam by causing world wide chaos....then they are the last people on earth that need nuclear devices. Just be a normal country and give up the nuclear ambitions. The West is quick to forgive and will open their arms to you. That may be impossible with Islamic radicals steering Iran over the cliff. Americans have endured Iranian State sponsored terrorism for 40 years. We hear you calling,"Death to America." I know you are frustrated. The solution is simple. Call your soldiers home, beat your swords into plows, spend the Billions Obama gave you to help your people, and give up your nuclear ambitions 100%. The choice is yours or 2019 will be the last year of this regime.
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