It is not coincidental that Mr. Donald Trump the billionaire became the 45th president of the United States of America, and his victory can’t be simply attributed to a populist mood. Reaching the US presidency requires complex political and legal contexts, applying probabilities, nomination and the likelihood of such a case is not easy.
We should not assume that a hidden Russian conspiracy or a mysterious major power brought Trump to the presidency. His presidency is an exceptional case that no longer concerns America alone, but the whole world. Thus interpretation needs to sift between two traditional assumptions.
We should recall that Trump’s presidency still relates in some of its roots to the late stage of the Cold War – a form of fruit resulting from the fall of the totalitarian ideology of socialism – and thus to the disintegration of the former Soviet Union.
On the other hand, Trumps presidency is an initial result of the disappointment created by the campaign launched to liberalize and apply capitalism in the world according to the western-style.
The Trump phenomenon is one of the most important fruits of the internal dynamics of political and ideological variables in the global and American arenas seen through the past four decades. This administration somehow embodies the depth of the variables in the policies of the Republican Party that is the most capable in experimentation and risk taking in American foreign policy.
The first seventy days of the reign of Trump identified a formula that outlines the American strategy, which will be based on tools and military minds initially and then capitalism in the second degree. We are not in front of generals led by politicians in Washington, but military leaders shaping politics.
The new US administration tends to be a marriage between the military–security institutions and financial institutions. Initially planned to raise the military performance of America by increasing the defense budget on the diplomatic budget account, the new administration, according to the new initial understanding of its approach, will be the management of post- liberal capitalist management bypassing what was established and paved with globalization technically.
The Department is working on a consolidation phase that could be called a period of armed capital (Reinforced Capitalism), which comes in one of its aspects as a reaction to the inability to liberalize the world and solve the main problems of contemporary societies peacefully.
The strategy of the new administration moves from the electoral populist slogan, “America first” to the slogan “America will win the war,” which war it will win, and to what extent will it increase military activities, especially in light of raising the defense budget by 54 billion, or about 9%. Are we practically in front of the stage of the globalization of militarism and war, instead of the previous stage, which was preaching democracy and dissemination, long looked at by Kissinger, Fukuyama and Condoleezza Rice, and briefly the dream of former US President Obama?
A number of factors indicate the features and directions of the American strategy in its foreign policy in general, and the Middle East in particular. Re-management of traditional alliance relations have become one of the most prominent foundations of this strategy in the Iraqi arena, where progress in the battle to liberate Mosul in parallel to the improvement of relations between Erbil and Baghdad, and the position on the Syrian issue will help draw and clarify the features of US strategy.
Through the practical steps of solving the Syrian dilemma we understand the general approach of how US will address hot issues in the region and the world. In addition to many other indicators based on new levels of economic and military cooperation with the Gulf states.
The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of Rudaw.